Mancha Real vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
ANT
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 1
MAN
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
CDE
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +4 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
POL
2 - 2
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MAL
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
HUE
4 - 1
LOJ
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LOJ
4 - 1
VEL
68%
18%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CDT
3 - 0
LOJ
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LOJ
4 - 1
PAL
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |