Mancha Real vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
59.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 0
MAN
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
ROD
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CDE
1 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 1
MAN
73%
19%
8%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 1
CRD
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
CRD
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 1
LOR
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 0
REC
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 0
LOR
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 2
JUM
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |