Mancha Real vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 2
MAN
68%
21%
11%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 1
LOR
16%
25%
60%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 0
MAN
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
ROD
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
4 - 2
SAN
69%
19%
13%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
LOR
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MAL
3 - 0
GUA
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
ANT
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 4
GUA
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |