Tercera Playoffs Galicia Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Mancha Real vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CUL
1 - 0
MAN
67%
21%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
CDZ
49%
26%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CDZ
1 - 1
MAN
45%
28%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 0
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 1
HUE
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CUL
1 - 0
MAN
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CUL
4 - 1
UNV
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UNV
1 - 1
CUL
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CUL
0 - 1
CAB
70%
18%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 1
CUL
14%
23%
63%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |