Mancha Real vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
RJA
19%
25%
56%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
MAN
26%
26%
49%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
POZ
4 - 2
MAN
51%
26%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
POZ
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 2
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIE
2 - 0
AFC
70%
17%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 0
CIE
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CIE
0 - 2
YEC
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
CIE
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CIE
1 - 1
IMP
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |