Mancha Real vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
POL
2 - 2
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALH
1 - 1
MAN
24%
25%
51%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 0
LIN
15%
21%
64%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MAL
2 - 1
MAN
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CDE
0 - 1
MAL
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HUE
1 - 3
CDE
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CDE
2 - 1
VEL
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CDT
1 - 2
CDE
13%
20%
67%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 1
CDE
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |