Mancha Real vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALH
1 - 1
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 2
VEL
35%
27%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAN
39%
28%
33%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOL
53%
25%
23%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CDE
2 - 3
LIN
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAL
4 - 1
CDE
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CDE
2 - 1
AME
84%
10%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
CDE
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALH
0 - 1
CDE
40%
22%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |