Mancha Real vs Atletico Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
4 - 1
CDE
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALH
1 - 1
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 2
VEL
35%
27%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAN
39%
28%
33%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOL
53%
25%
23%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 1
AME
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
AME
2 - 0
MAL
12%
19%
68%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | +5 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CDE
2 - 1
AME
84%
10%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AME
0 - 1
ALH
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |