Mancha Real vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
6 - 0
ALH
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RON
0 - 0
MAN
35%
27%
39%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
HUE
69%
20%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
UDS
2 - 0
MAN
47%
26%
28%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 2
MAL
19%
25%
57%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAL
4 - 0
ATA
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
MAL
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |