Copa RFAF Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Mancha Real vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
MOT
43%
25%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 6
MAN
10%
23%
67%
|
31 | 6 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
ALM
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
6 - 0
POL
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
POL
0 - 2
ARE
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 0
JUV
15%
22%
63%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 2
CRD
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 1
HUE
49%
25%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |