Mancha Real vs CD Alhaurino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 3
MAN
55%
22%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 0
CÉL
79%
15%
6%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
MAN
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
RON
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alhaurino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALH
3 - 0
CÉL
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALH
74%
17%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ALH
0 - 1
RON
20%
23%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALH
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ALH
0 - 2
VIC
44%
26%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |