At. Malagueño vs Vélez CF analysis

At. Malagueño Vélez CF
28 ELO 19
3% Tilt -16.9%
6358º General ELO ranking 5864º
210º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
74.1%
At. Malagueño
15.6%
Draw
10.3%
Vélez CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
At. Malagueño
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.3%
Win probability
Vélez CF
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
At. Malagueño
+23%
-52%
Vélez CF

ELO progression

At. Malagueño
Vélez CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

At. Malagueño
At. Malagueño
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
ANT
Antequera CF
1 - 0
At. Malagueño
MAL
63%
20%
17%
29 35 6 0
18 Oct. 2020
MAL
At. Malagueño
1 - 0
Juventud Torremolinos
JUV
75%
15%
10%
28 20 8 +1
11 Oct. 2020
PAL
El Palo FC
1 - 0
At. Malagueño
MAL
55%
22%
23%
29 32 3 -1
06 Oct. 2020
ALG
Algeciras CF
1 - 0
At. Malagueño
MAL
67%
21%
12%
29 45 16 0
30 Sep. 2020
MAL
At. Malagueño
1 - 0
At. Sanluqueño
SAN
25%
25%
50%
28 43 15 +1

Matches

Vélez CF
Vélez CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2020
VEL
Vélez CF
1 - 1
Antequera CF
ANT
16%
22%
63%
19 35 16 0
25 Oct. 2020
JUV
Juventud Torremolinos
1 - 1
Vélez CF
VEL
55%
22%
23%
19 20 1 0
18 Oct. 2020
VEL
Vélez CF
2 - 0
Alhaurín de la Torre
ALH
55%
22%
24%
19 16 3 0
30 Sep. 2020
VEL
Vélez CF
1 - 0
Almería B
ALM
15%
20%
65%
18 37 19 +1
19 Sep. 2020
ALH
CD Alhaurino
3 - 1
Vélez CF
VEL
63%
20%
17%
18 24 6 0
X