At. Malagueño vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 1
MAL
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
MAL
2 - 1
LOJ
71%
17%
13%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RJA
1 - 2
MAL
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
ANT
61%
20%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
MAL
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
3 - 2
LOJ
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
RJA
1 - 1
VEL
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 1
ANT
20%
24%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 4
VEL
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
MEL
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |