At. Malagueño vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAL
16%
23%
62%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAL
4 - 1
MOL
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LOJ
0 - 3
MAL
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 0
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATA
1 - 4
MAL
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
AME
83%
12%
6%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CDE
4 - 4
VEL
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
ALH
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
VEL
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
VEL
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |