At. Malagueño vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAL
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 2
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAL
4 - 1
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAL
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAL
5 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 3
LUC
24%
25%
50%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 0
VEL
64%
19%
16%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 1
ALH
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
RON
1 - 1
VEL
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
HUE
82%
13%
6%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |