At. Malagueño vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
MAL
4 - 0
NER
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ARE
1 - 2
MAL
17%
25%
59%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAL
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 1
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAN
5 - 0
VEL
52%
25%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 1
LOJ
18%
24%
58%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 0
UDS
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
25%
26%
50%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NIJ
2 - 1
VEL
63%
23%
15%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |