Tercera Playoffs Galicia Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
At. Malagueño vs Universidad Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAL
4 - 1
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAL
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAL
5 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 1
PAL
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALH
1 - 3
MAL
16%
23%
61%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
CEA
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CUD
0 - 2
UNI
27%
25%
49%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
COV
61%
21%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 2
UNI
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |