Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-4
At. Malagueño vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 1
EJE
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
EJE
0 - 2
MAL
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MAL
5 - 0
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UDS
1 - 1
MAL
18%
25%
57%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
MAL
3 - 1
MOL
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
SRQ
2 - 0
ALM
63%
23%
14%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 0
SRQ
22%
24%
53%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CEU
0 - 2
SRQ
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SRQ
1 - 1
CAB
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
COR
1 - 4
SRQ
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |