At. Malagueño vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ELC
2 - 0
MAL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
MAL
0 - 1
RCF
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
POL
1 - 2
MAL
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MAL
0 - 0
LEV
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 0
MAL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MUR
0 - 2
REC
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
GIM
3 - 1
MUR
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MUR
2 - 0
ALB
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
MUR
2 - 0
LLE
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
ELC
1 - 1
MUR
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |