At. Malagueño vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MAL
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAL
4 - 2
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ANT
2 - 0
MAL
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 0
TOR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CDE
0 - 1
MAL
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
RJA
1 - 0
HUE
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 2
RJA
15%
21%
63%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 1
RJA
12%
17%
71%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDT
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 2
RJA
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |