At. Malagueño vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
MAL
1 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ALG
2 - 0
MAL
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MAL
2 - 0
BET
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
CAD
2 - 1
MAL
53%
27%
20%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
MAL
2 - 1
JER
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALG
61%
25%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
BET
2 - 2
RJA
31%
30%
39%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
RJA
1 - 2
CAD
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
JER
1 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
RJA
0 - 3
SEV
20%
29%
51%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |