At. Malagueño vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAL
15%
21%
63%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAL
3 - 2
ALH
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MAL
2 - 1
MAN
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
MAL
61%
23%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
HUE
2 - 1
MAL
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
POL
2 - 2
HUE
36%
25%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 2
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CDT
0 - 0
POL
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
POL
0 - 0
PAL
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
HUE
1 - 1
POL
57%
21%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |