At. Malagueño vs CF Motril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAL
15%
20%
65%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAL
3 - 0
VEL
80%
12%
7%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 1
MAL
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
MAL
2 - 1
LOJ
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RJA
1 - 2
MAL
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CF Motril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MOT
2 - 1
LOJ
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MOT
3 - 0
ANT
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
MOT
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MOT
8 - 1
MEL
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
MOT
22%
23%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |