At. Malagueño vs Melistar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
4.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.6%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.3%
5-0
9%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.9%
1.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAL
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MAL
5 - 1
ATA
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
HUE
0 - 2
MAL
14%
20%
66%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MAL
3 - 1
TOR
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MAL
5 - 0
UDS
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Melistar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MEL
0 - 5
LOJ
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
RJA
6 - 0
MEL
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
ANT
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PAL
4 - 0
MEL
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
JUV
22%
20%
58%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |