At. Malagueño vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAL
5 - 0
CDR
79%
13%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 1
MAL
11%
19%
71%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 4
MAL
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 0
ALH
88%
9%
4%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAL
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LOJ
1 - 0
TOR
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
LOJ
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALH
3 - 1
LOJ
15%
23%
62%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -3 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LOJ
2 - 0
ALM
30%
27%
42%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
HUE
2 - 1
LOJ
23%
25%
53%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |