At. Malagueño vs Ciudad Vícar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAL
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 2
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MAL
5 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALH
1 - 1
MAL
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAL
1 - 0
PAL
66%
19%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad Vícar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
VIC
3 - 0
CÉL
86%
11%
4%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIC
70%
18%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 3
RON
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |