At. Malagueño vs Ciudad de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
NUM
3 - 0
MAL
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MAL
0 - 0
LEG
47%
25%
27%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ELC
2 - 3
MAL
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
MAL
2 - 1
RAY
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
TER
0 - 1
MAL
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
CIU
1 - 1
ALM
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SPO
4 - 1
CIU
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CIU
2 - 3
CDT
41%
28%
30%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
EIB
0 - 2
CIU
53%
28%
20%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CIU
2 - 2
CAD
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |