At. Malagueño vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
COM
0 - 2
MAL
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 2
OSA
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
OSA
0 - 0
MAL
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
MAL
28%
26%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
AME
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CDE
1 - 0
ALQ
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CDE
2 - 1
MAN
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LIN
4 - 1
CDE
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CDE
2 - 3
MAL
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
CDE
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |