At. Malagueño vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALH
3 - 1
MAL
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 0
VEL
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAL
16%
23%
62%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAL
4 - 1
MOL
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LOJ
0 - 3
MAL
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CDE
2 - 1
AME
84%
10%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
CDE
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALH
0 - 1
CDE
40%
22%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CDE
4 - 4
VEL
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
CDE
42%
23%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |