Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-2
At. Malagueño vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAL
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAL
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 5
MAL
16%
20%
65%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 0
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAL
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PXD
0 - 1
CAS
39%
28%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
PXD
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
REC
2 - 3
CAS
27%
27%
46%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAT
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |