At. Malagueño vs Casino Real CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAL
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAL
5 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 1
PAL
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALH
1 - 3
MAL
16%
23%
61%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 0
RON
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Casino Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
PAL
20%
24%
56%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ALH
0 - 0
CAS
22%
24%
54%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
RON
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HUE
1 - 1
CAS
23%
24%
54%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 1
UDS
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |