At. Malagueño vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAL
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 3
VVA
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 1
ECI
41%
26%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
POR
5 - 0
MAL
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
GRA
4 - 0
MAL
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
GRA
63%
23%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CER
2 - 1
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
AGD
0 - 0
CAR
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 1
EXT
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 2
CAR
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |