At. Malagueño vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BAZ
2 - 0
MAL
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAL
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 3
VVA
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 1
ECI
41%
26%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
MER
1 - 0
GRA
46%
28%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CER
2 - 1
MER
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
MER
1 - 3
AGD
37%
31%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
EXT
1 - 2
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
MER
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |