At. Malagueño vs Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
5 - 0
MAL
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 2
RJA
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
VVA
1 - 0
MAL
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
XER
4 - 2
MAL
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
MAL
5 - 4
NUM
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAZ
1 - 1
GRA
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CER
0 - 0
BAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
BAZ
0 - 0
AGD
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
BAZ
2 - 0
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 1
BAZ
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |