At. Malagueño vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAL
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
MAL
3 - 2
UDS
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MOL
0 - 1
MAL
16%
23%
61%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAL
17%
23%
59%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MAL
4 - 1
UDM
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
ALQ
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LOJ
3 - 2
MAN
68%
21%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 3
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |