At. Malagueño vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
MAL
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAL
5 - 0
JUV
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ATA
2 - 1
MAL
14%
22%
64%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 0
EST
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAL
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 1
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 2
MAN
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
RON
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 1
MAN
23%
26%
52%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
UDS
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |