At. Malagueño vs Atarfe Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
MAL
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
MAL
21%
25%
55%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 0
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAL
26%
27%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atarfe Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ATA
1 - 4
PAL
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ALH
0 - 1
ATA
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ATA
2 - 1
RON
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ATA
7 - 0
HUE
51%
24%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
UDS
3 - 1
ATA
65%
19%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |