Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-5
At. Malagueño vs CD Alhaurino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
MAL
0 - 2
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
BAI
1 - 0
MAL
49%
26%
25%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
MAL
6 - 1
ATA
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
EST
0 - 1
MAL
44%
28%
28%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
MAL
3 - 1
AMA
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alhaurino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
ALH
5 - 2
UDS
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
BEN
3 - 3
ALH
53%
25%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
ALH
4 - 0
UCF
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALH
53%
24%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
ALH
6 - 1
BAZ
64%
22%
15%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |