At. Malagueño vs Adra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
GRA
2 - 2
MAL
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
MAL
2 - 2
BAL
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAL
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
MAL
2 - 1
ILI
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
MAL
7 - 2
MAL
86%
9%
4%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Adra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CÉL
8 - 1
POZ
77%
13%
10%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
CÉL
5 - 1
ANT
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 1
CÉL
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
CÉL
3 - 0
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
BAL
3 - 0
CÉL
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |