UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Atlético vs FC Trinity Zlín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
ZLI
2 - 4
ATM
29%
27%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ATH
3 - 4
ATM
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 2
ZAR
52%
25%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
RAC
2 - 2
ATM
45%
25%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ATM
3 - 2
CEL
46%
26%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Trinity Zlín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
ZLI
2 - 4
ATM
29%
27%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
ZLI
3 - 0
KVC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
KVC
0 - 0
ZLI
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
ZLI
3 - 2
MYP
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
MYP
1 - 1
ZLI
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |