Atlético vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2005 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAD
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
RAC
0 - 1
ATM
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 1
ATM
20%
25%
56%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
ATM
0 - 3
RMA
23%
25%
53%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MAL
0 - 2
ATM
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
BET
2 - 3
VIL
41%
27%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 0
MLL
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 1
SLB
58%
24%
18%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
ALA
1 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 1
ATH
52%
24%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |