Atlético vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
BET
1 - 2
ATM
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2003 |
ATM
4 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 3
ATM
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 1
MLL
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
UBC
2 - 3
ATM
12%
24%
64%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 0
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 0
OSA
53%
26%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ALB
2 - 0
VIL
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 3
SEV
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |