Atlético vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
ALA
0 - 0
ATM
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ATM
0 - 2
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
HER
0 - 2
ATM
36%
23%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
DEP
3 - 0
ATM
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
ATM
4 - 0
MUR
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
VAD
1 - 0
RSO
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
CUL
0 - 0
VAD
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
VAD
2 - 0
ESP
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
VAD
2 - 4
ATH
29%
23%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 0
VAD
58%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |