Atlético vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 0
ATM
30%
23%
47%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ATM
1 - 1
RSO
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
ESP
3 - 1
ATM
57%
19%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1953 |
FCB
8 - 1
ATM
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
VAD
2 - 2
FCB
26%
23%
51%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
SEV
3 - 1
VAD
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
VAD
2 - 1
DEP
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
VAD
2 - 1
RSO
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
RSO
3 - 1
VAD
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |