Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-4
Atlético vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.2%
6.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VAD
4 - 3
ATM
42%
22%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
57%
19%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ATM
5 - 2
DEP
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATM
23%
22%
55%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
ATM
7 - 1
LLE
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VAD
4 - 3
ATM
42%
22%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
ALC
1 - 4
VAD
39%
24%
38%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VAD
2 - 0
LLE
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
VCF
4 - 1
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
VAD
0 - 1
RMA
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |