Atlético vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
11.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
VCF
6 - 0
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
VAD
0 - 1
ATM
36%
23%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ATM
4 - 1
OVI
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
RSO
4 - 1
ATM
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ATM
4 - 1
FCB
55%
20%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
RMA
1 - 1
VAD
75%
14%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
VAD
0 - 1
ATM
36%
23%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
VAD
3 - 2
VCF
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
VAD
3 - 0
GIM
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 2
VAD
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |