Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-4
Atlético vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ATM
4 - 1
ISC
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
CAS
4 - 1
ATM
30%
22%
48%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
ATM
5 - 1
BET
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
SPO
2 - 2
ATM
44%
21%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
39%
23%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
VAD
3 - 2
RCM
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
LEO
1 - 1
VAD
41%
23%
35%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
VAD
1 - 1
CEL
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
GIJ
2 - 2
VAD
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |