Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-0
Atlético vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.6%
3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ATM
4 - 0
GRA
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SEV
4 - 2
ATM
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
79%
13%
9%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATM
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ATM
5 - 0
ELC
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
VAL
9 - 3
CAD
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
LEV
3 - 1
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 0
CDT
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 1
CCF
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
RJA
2 - 1
VAL
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |