Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 6-5
Atlético vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
ATM
3 - 2
CEL
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1996 |
VCF
3 - 5
ATM
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
ESP
0 - 2
ATM
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1996 |
ATM
3 - 0
CDT
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
ATM
0 - 1
SEV
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
VCF
3 - 1
OVI
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1996 |
VCF
3 - 5
ATM
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
RMA
0 - 0
VCF
62%
20%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1996 |
VCF
2 - 0
SEV
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
VCF
3 - 0
RAY
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |