Atlético vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATM
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ATM
5 - 1
CAS
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
BET
1 - 2
ATM
35%
24%
42%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ATM
3 - 1
ZAR
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
DEP
0 - 0
ATM
38%
23%
38%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
RMA
0 - 1
VCF
53%
21%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
VCF
1 - 1
CEL
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
VCF
3 - 2
GRA
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
CAS
1 - 0
VCF
28%
22%
50%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
VCF
4 - 2
SEV
73%
15%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |